Wednesday, 2 August 2017
Glorious Goodwood Day Two: Expect Moore glory for Churchill
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Tippin' Jimmy gives us his verdict across Glorious Goodwood.
1:50 Goodwood - Aurora Gray (10/1)
In a difficult opener I am going to side with Aurora Gray who I feel there is more to come from. She has been switched to stayers and sometimes it just takes a while for a horse to bring their best. She looked a certainty to win at Newbury last time out, with three furlongs to go but just didn't see her race off. But she lost out to a good rival, and that form has worked out quite strong.
2:25 Goodwood - Secret Advisor (5/1)
William Buick must have chose to rode this horse, which is an obvious betting indication. Charlie Appleby's three-year-old has been running okay, but should have a bold chance now dropped into handicapping. He ran a great race to finish behind two top horses at Royal Ascot last time out, and that form is rather strong for this.
3:00 Goodwood - Happy Like A Fool (10/3)
I know this is a horse who is thought very highly of in Wesley Ward's juvenile team, and she was beaten at Ascot last time out pretty fairly. I did think she would win that day, so faces a tough ask to return here. My worry is the track, and the weather; but if she handles both she has got a serious chance.
3:35 Goodwood - Churchill (2/1)
We have seen plenty good battles at Goodwood over the years and I do think this one promises to be another. My verdict has to be Churchill however. He has been brilliant in winning both classics, and just didn't run to his true best at Royal Ascot. He gets 7lb less than Ribchester, which may just be the deciding factor between the two.
4:10 Goodwood - Lamya (11/2)
Richard Hannon and Ryan Moore team up with Lamya, who made a promising debut effort at Newmarket. He only finished sixth that day, but travelled well and eventually the form has been working out quite strongly. He should improve, and I do fancy his chances.
4:45 Goodwood - Turning The Table (14/1) ew
David Simcock's three-year-old has got talent, but I just don't think he has shown it on his last two starts. He was an encouraging winner at Windsor, before two poor efforts since. He is on a decent mark and should give a true running of himself.
5:20 Goodwood (Arab Race) - Tayf (3/1)
Although my knowledge of these races is quite poor, Oliver Peslier has come here to ride in this race and as a top jockey I don't expect to see him going home empty handed.
5:50 Goodwood - Sun Lover (11/2) , War Glory (8/1) ew
A nice Roger Varian horse I have been following is Sun Lover, who was so unlucky when beaten narrowly at Doncaster last time out. This horse is gradually improving, and his mark is unaltered since that run. I expect him to add another win to Andrea Atzeni's growing tally.
War Glory is one that will strike in a big race like this, Hollie Doyle's claimer is also a bonus.
Lucky 15 - (Lamya/Aurora Gray/Sun Lover/Happylikeafool)
Tuesday, 1 August 2017
Glorious Goodwood Day One Tips: Chords can make a Vibrant start to the week
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Tippin' Jimmy picks out his selections on day one of Glorious Goodwood.
1:50 Goodwood - UAE Prince (15/2)
One horse who has been disapointing this season is Roger Varian's UAE Prince. He looked a progressive type last year, who deserved his place in Group company. However he hasn't shown his best in two starts, and today could be the day he returns to winning ways. He should like the good ground, and can take the beating today.
2:25 Goodwood - Seahenge (3/1)
Seahenge is arguably a risky bet for the Vintage Stakes, but one I am hoping will pay off. He showed so much class when winning on debut, running very green but still winning. He needs to be more mature today, but there is no doubting he has the potential and quality to win this.
3:00 Goodwood - Limato (7/2) , Home Of The Brave (15/2) ew
I have always been a big Limato fan, and I was very taken with his performance at Royal Ascot when third in the Diamond Jubilee. He followed up well with a strong effort in the July Cup so certainly deserves his place here. He should like the quick ground, and will be best over seven furlongs.
Home Of The Brave has been steadily prepared and should be running well at the end, I would imagine him picking up some place money.
3:35 Goodwood - Big Orange (5/4) , Stradvarius (12/1)
Big Orange is my win selection, and he is the one that would cause a shock were he to lose. He has won this in the last two years, and fully deserves another crack after battling so well to Gold Cup glory. Stradvarius has to be fancied as an each-way chance after a strong Royal Ascot win.
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Big Orange is bidding for a third straight victory in the Goodwood Cup
4:10 Goodwood - Oliver Reed (15/2)
After the narrowest of defeats in a Newbury maiden, it is hard for me not to expect a victory for Oliver Reed. The well thought of prospect should improve a lot from that run in Berkshire, and looks set to go well in this very hot maiden affair.
4:45 Goodwood - Vibrant Chords (8/1), A Momentofmadness (9/1) ew
Vibrant Chords is a very progressive sprinter, who always seems to show his best at Goodwood. On his penultimate start he was a mightily impressive winner back in May over today's trip, and on that form deserves the verdict here. The only worry is, he is 6lb higher. A Momentofmaddness was beaten that day, but has been progressing since and is a sprinter who will win a big handicap over this trip.
5:05 Worcester - Cole Harden (8/11) NAP
My one bet from outside of Sussex comes in the shape of Cole Harden who is looking to break his chasing maiden. He is a star performer, and although he has been defeated on his last two efforts over fences today should be the day for him.
5:15 Goodwood - Ghadaayer (8/1)
Jim Crowley and Sir Michael Stoute team up with this improving prospect who was an encouraging Newmarket winner when last seen. His record this year is two from three, and although he didn't win by much I do think she is beginning to get better from each run. I rate her, but this does look a competitive race.
Monday, 31 July 2017
Monday's Best Bets: Some winners before Goodwood?
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Tippin' Jimmy runs us down Monday's card, he will give selections from EVERY race at Glorious Goodwood this week!
4:00 Ayr - Weekend Offender (2/1)
One who I have been keeping a close eye on is Weekend Offender for Kevin Ryan. He ran a very good race at the start of the season, finishing a close third behind George William and G K Chesterton. He hasn't stepped up too much in two efforts since, but today could be the day he gets back on track.
7:15 Windsor - Al Barg (11/10)
Richard Hannon's nicely bred two-year-old can justify favouritism in this competitive event at Windsor. He ran a stormer on debut, proving his quality when second against two very good prospects. He should come on a lot for that experience, and I am expecting a big run from him.
8:30 Wolverhampton - Dubai Elegance (6/1)
Another nicely bred horse is Dubai Elegance, who makes her first start of the season in the Midlands. She stepped up from a promising debut, to win a decent maiden in impressive style. On her handicap debut she struggled, and should put in a much better effort today.
4:00 Ayr - Weekend Offender (2/1)
One who I have been keeping a close eye on is Weekend Offender for Kevin Ryan. He ran a very good race at the start of the season, finishing a close third behind George William and G K Chesterton. He hasn't stepped up too much in two efforts since, but today could be the day he gets back on track.
7:15 Windsor - Al Barg (11/10)
Richard Hannon's nicely bred two-year-old can justify favouritism in this competitive event at Windsor. He ran a stormer on debut, proving his quality when second against two very good prospects. He should come on a lot for that experience, and I am expecting a big run from him.
8:30 Wolverhampton - Dubai Elegance (6/1)
Another nicely bred horse is Dubai Elegance, who makes her first start of the season in the Midlands. She stepped up from a promising debut, to win a decent maiden in impressive style. On her handicap debut she struggled, and should put in a much better effort today.
Sunday, 30 July 2017
Sunday's Best Bets: The trainer's told me he's a certainty
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Tippin' Jimmy picks out his three best bets for Sunday's racing.
2:40 Munich (GER) - Best Solution (8/1)
He was a really impressive winner of Lingfield's Derby Trial, but just hasn't lived up to that promise on two starts since. Although this is a Group One, it isn't too competitive and he gets a nice weight allowance in this. I do think he's good enough, and should give a good account of himself.
3:30 Pontefract - Tashweeq (11/4) NAP
John Gosden's promising four-year-old is a bit of an uncertainty in terms of form, but he does have the most potential in this very weak listed contest. He was a good third in the Royal Hunt Cup, but just didn't run his race at all in the Bunbury Cup. He's always had a bit more weight on his back than some of his rivals, so a switch to listed company may be a good move
4:45 Uttoxeter - Aerlite Supreme (8/1)
I thought he may have a fair chance, before I spoke to trainer Evan Williams. He told me he was a 'racing certainty' so you have to feel maybe there is something more to come from him. He has been running well, but just didn't stay the three mile trip last time out. He gets ideal conditions, and a drop down in trip so could live up to expectations.
£1 patent (£7 total) returns £474
2:40 Munich (GER) - Best Solution (8/1)
He was a really impressive winner of Lingfield's Derby Trial, but just hasn't lived up to that promise on two starts since. Although this is a Group One, it isn't too competitive and he gets a nice weight allowance in this. I do think he's good enough, and should give a good account of himself.
3:30 Pontefract - Tashweeq (11/4) NAP
John Gosden's promising four-year-old is a bit of an uncertainty in terms of form, but he does have the most potential in this very weak listed contest. He was a good third in the Royal Hunt Cup, but just didn't run his race at all in the Bunbury Cup. He's always had a bit more weight on his back than some of his rivals, so a switch to listed company may be a good move
4:45 Uttoxeter - Aerlite Supreme (8/1)
I thought he may have a fair chance, before I spoke to trainer Evan Williams. He told me he was a 'racing certainty' so you have to feel maybe there is something more to come from him. He has been running well, but just didn't stay the three mile trip last time out. He gets ideal conditions, and a drop down in trip so could live up to expectations.
£1 patent (£7 total) returns £474
Saturday, 29 July 2017
Saturday's Best Bets: All the tips from King George Day, and an Accurate outsider
Tippin' Jimmy previews all of Ascot's King George card, and some other fancies around the UK.
1:50 Ascot - Nyaleti (5/2)
One of the leading young fillies in training is Nyaleti, who has established her place in the ranks after two second place finishes behind Ballydoyle stars Clemmie and September. She does look like she is up to this, and I would expect her to like the ground and run a big race.
2:25 Ascot - Alwahsh (9/1)
William Haggas' three-year-old was a very impressive maiden winner only a month ago, and fully deserves his chance in this competitive handicap contest. He destroyed the field by seven lengths at Nottingham, and has been gifted a good opening mark for that win. Breeding suggests he should be okay with any rain, and I am expecting a fine performance.
3:00 Ascot - Fawaareq (12/1)
Jim Crowley must have been thinking about this mount all week as he slimmed down to make the low weight. Fawaareq is well drawn, proven on the ground and has a nice handicap mark. The rather unexposed four-year-old should still be progressing after two decent second place efforts.
Jack Hobbs was an impressive winner in Dubai
3:35 Ascot (King George) - Jack Hobbs (5/1) , Idaho (12/1) ew
Jack Hobbs will get ideal conditions at Ascot today, and I do think that will work in his favour a lot. He was impressive when winning in Dubai, and that form is exceptionally strong in this contest. You can draw a line through Royal Ascot, and expect a much better showing today.
I do really rate Idaho as a horse, and I was delighted when he scooped up the Hardwicke last time out. He is one who will relish the ground today, and is really starting to improve as a middle distancer.
4:10 Ascot - Tigre Du Terre (2/1), Being There (13/2) ew
I always like it when a trainer gets a buzz about a young horse, and Richard Hannon certainly does about this one. He oozed class when winning in fine style at this track here a fortnight ago and should be up to winning again. It is a lot tougher, but he's certainly one going the right way.
Being There is certainly a big danger, although his debut wasn't the most impressive he did look like the class act in the field. There is a lot more to come from him.
4:45 Ascot - Just An Idea (20/1) ew, Accurate (40/1) ew
Just An Idea has got some good form in the book, and does look to be improving. She like soft ground, and should appreciate the extra furlong today. Her fourth place effort in a listed contest stacks up well here, and I would hope for a good run.
Accurate may spring a really big surprise in this, especially if the rain continues to come in Berkshire. He has been really poor in his last three starts, but a return to his best certainly puts him back in to contention.
5:20 Ascot - Dark Pearl (4/1) , Atkinson Grimshaw (5/1) ew
The closing race does look a tricky one to find the winner, but I am hoping its Dark Pearl. With the weather still up in arms, he is one who should deal with anything and he is stepping in the right direction. He won nicely in maiden company last time out, and should be able to make a bold bid.
Atkinson Grimshaw is another progressive type, and may well be able to continue his improvement in this weak handicap contest.
Tippin' Jimmy has three selections on the card from Salisbury
5:45 Salisbury - Saroog (9/4)
I was so taken by Saroog's Newbury debut, and he deserved to go a lot closer than his third place finish suggests. He wasn't beaten too far that day, and had no passage throughout the race at all. If he had more space I do think he would've won. I am expecting a better result this afternoon.
6:45 Salisbury - Paint (9/1)
After a less than impressive debut, I am expecting more to come from Paint for Richard Hannon. She's clearly got some talent and will need to show a lot more, but this isn't the toughest of races.
7:45 Salisbury - Inconceivable (7/2)
Another I kept an eye on at Newbury was this one, who got going far too late and should now have a bold chance over this longer trip. He is a full brother to Eye Of The Storm who was good on all ground which is a bonus, and I do expect him to finally win.
My Lucky 15 (Nyaleti/Fawaareq/Saroog/Inconceivable)
Friday, 28 July 2017
Friday's Best Bet: UAE can be King at Ascot
Tippin' Jimmy gives us his three best bets across Friday's card.
1:40 Ascot - Indicia (5/2) NAP
I have heard some strong vibes about Charlie Hills' two-year-old, and after an encouraging second I expect him to break his maiden here today.
2:20 Thirsk - Juliet Capulet (6/4)
This improving John Gosden prospect should now be winning, now switched to handicap company. She ran very well when third at Newmarket, and should go well today.
2:45 Ascot - UAE King (11/8)
He has won the last two quite impressively, and I fancy him to add further success today. He should deal with the longer trip, and I like his chances.
Thursday, 27 July 2017
Thursday's Best Bets: Every tip from Newbury
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Tippin' Jimmy gives us his best bets, and runs us through the Newbury card.
5:25 Yarmouth - Harba (4/9)
A brilliant horse for me last week, and should follow up once again here. He won very impressively by seven lengths and I would him to win once again.
5:30 Newbury - Meyandi (11/4)
I was unsure about this race until I saw the weights, and this favourite should be hard to beat. He's run creditably in maiden company and was last seen finishing second at Southwell, a long way off Pealer. That horse went straight to the Derby, finished last but won a good handicap in good style. It's hard to judge his form, but it is certainly good enough for this.
6:00 Newbury - Tathmeen (4/5)
Normally I am all over maidens like this, but this looks competitve but if I had to go for one it would be the odds on shot. He has been improving, and deserves his chance in this contest.
6:30 Newbury - Miss Mo Brown Bear (3/1)
A horse with plenty of ability and showing all the right signs at home is this three-year-old filly. She has been desperately unlucky when beaten by inches the last two runs. She should give a much better account of herself.
7:05 Newbury - Baashiq (9/2)
Roger Varian's nice prospect competes in what looks a very strong contest in Berkshire. He won a very good maiden at the end of last year, before a good third place effort at Haydock last year. That run was promising and he probably needed the outing. He's progressive and can run well.
7:35 Newbury - Medicean Ballet (7/2)
This horse has plenty of improvement in her, and made a promising return at Sandown when fourth. She was held up and the race worked out in favour of the front runners, she should improve a lot from that run and I am expecting a strong performance. The Godolphin horse is a big danger.
8:05 Newbury - Harbour Grey (16/1)
Richard Hannon thinks highly of this horse, and I really am expecting a big return from this nice three-year-old. His filly won a good maiden back in April, and hasn't really had the chance to show what she is capable of since. She was pulled-up and injured at York, and was just too slow away to do any damage here earlier this month. I am expecting a much better performance.
8:40 Newbury - Samarmadi NAP (Evs)
This should be straight forward for Hugo Palmer's colt. He had been gelded before his second place run at Wolverhampton, and he will come on a lot for that run. He's the bet of the day, at a poor price.
5:25 Yarmouth - Harba (4/9)
A brilliant horse for me last week, and should follow up once again here. He won very impressively by seven lengths and I would him to win once again.
5:30 Newbury - Meyandi (11/4)
I was unsure about this race until I saw the weights, and this favourite should be hard to beat. He's run creditably in maiden company and was last seen finishing second at Southwell, a long way off Pealer. That horse went straight to the Derby, finished last but won a good handicap in good style. It's hard to judge his form, but it is certainly good enough for this.
6:00 Newbury - Tathmeen (4/5)
Normally I am all over maidens like this, but this looks competitve but if I had to go for one it would be the odds on shot. He has been improving, and deserves his chance in this contest.
6:30 Newbury - Miss Mo Brown Bear (3/1)
A horse with plenty of ability and showing all the right signs at home is this three-year-old filly. She has been desperately unlucky when beaten by inches the last two runs. She should give a much better account of herself.
7:05 Newbury - Baashiq (9/2)
Roger Varian's nice prospect competes in what looks a very strong contest in Berkshire. He won a very good maiden at the end of last year, before a good third place effort at Haydock last year. That run was promising and he probably needed the outing. He's progressive and can run well.
7:35 Newbury - Medicean Ballet (7/2)
This horse has plenty of improvement in her, and made a promising return at Sandown when fourth. She was held up and the race worked out in favour of the front runners, she should improve a lot from that run and I am expecting a strong performance. The Godolphin horse is a big danger.
8:05 Newbury - Harbour Grey (16/1)
Richard Hannon thinks highly of this horse, and I really am expecting a big return from this nice three-year-old. His filly won a good maiden back in April, and hasn't really had the chance to show what she is capable of since. She was pulled-up and injured at York, and was just too slow away to do any damage here earlier this month. I am expecting a much better performance.
8:40 Newbury - Samarmadi NAP (Evs)
This should be straight forward for Hugo Palmer's colt. He had been gelded before his second place run at Wolverhampton, and he will come on a lot for that run. He's the bet of the day, at a poor price.
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