We wrap up a fantastic week of action at Glorious Goodwood with six bets across the last two days of the meeting, including in the Stewards’ Cup on Saturday.
There are also races from Wolverhampton and Newmarket to take in on a busy betting weekend.
Friday 29th July 2022
3.00 Goodwood (Golden Mile Handicap) – NOBLE DYNASTY
The Golden Mile is usually a frightfully competitive handicap race but this time around, assuming no back luck in running, one horse truly stands out.
That runner is Noble Dynasty for Godolphin, Charlie Appleby and William Buick.
After winning just once last season and not really fulfilling his early potential he was gelded by the team. They left it until three weeks ago to bring him back in a handicap at Newmarket, a race in which he just made his own running, dominated proceedings and killed the field off with no fuss.
He’s gone up 9lbs, but that takes him to a mark of 103 which falls short of where he will end up. Much like teammate Secret State at Goodwood on Wednesday, he’s another Appleby runner heading for Group company very soon.
Blue For You, Eilean Dubh, Rebel Territory and Jimi Hendrix are solid in behind.
3.20 Wolverhampton (Novice Stakes) – JAHOORI
I was a little surprised to see Roger Varian’s Jahoori be shunted down to third-favourite on the first available betting show for this mile-and-a-half novice race.
Berkshire Breeze has plenty of experience for Andrew Balding and has been solid in handicaps, but we know what to expect from him now.
Tathbeet is the likely favourite for William Haggas, understandable really given the trainer and the fact he won last time out, but he has to give 7lbs away here and that will not be easy.
Jahoori made a terrible debut, expected perhaps at 25/1, before going off at 28/1 and running much better at Chelmsford, possibly to a mark of close to 90 in fact which is rather impressive.
Being by Nathaniel, going up in trip will certainly bring about more improvement and he may also appreciate this Tapeta surface meaning at the weights, he is certainly the value bet.
3.35 Goodwood (King George Stakes – Group 2) – LAZULI
We’re taking a bit of a chance on Lazuli at these prices in the lightning quick King George Stakes, once dominated by the brilliant Battaash.
This horse was a proven 110 sprinter two years ago and ran, on my book anyway, to around 115 when winning the Palace House last spring.
He carries a 3lb penalty here and has been hit and miss, but does so for winning a Group 2 in Dubai and while some still don’t rate the form there, it was an easy performance in beating today’s rival Acklam Express well and he was fancied by his trained to go very well in the King’s Stand at Group 1 level.
4.10 Goodwood (Glorious Stakes – Group 3) – REBEL’S ROMANCE
In the 1m4f Glorious Stakes, it should pay to stick with the class act Rebel’s Romance. This horse is not just the class act in this race, but he is one in general and hasn’t peaked yet.
Last year as a three-year-old he demolished his Group 2 UAE Derby field, earning a mark of 115. He could have stayed on the dirt and gone to the Kentucky Derby with a live chance, but had a setback.
He returned this season on the dirt too, but this time it didn’t work out. Charlie Appleby then gave him a break before returning him to action on the turf at Newmarket in the Fred Archer, a race he took apart impressively.
He beat stablemate Kemari that day easily, with the Group 2 winner second choice once again here. Hopefully the general 7/4 available at the time of writing holds, which is a fair price for this potentially top-class performer.
6.55 Newmarket (Fillies’ Handicap) – NIGHT SPARKLE
It’s worth a little trip across to Newmarket to keep an eye on this Simon & Ed Crisford filly Night Sparkle.
This is a low-grade race, but there is plenty more to come from our horse and as the top-weighted of the three-year-olds, she may just boss this and outclass the rest.
Her most recent form is enough at the weights to make her very competitive here, but she is most progressive in fact and another step forward is expected under the excellent Andrea Atzeni.
Gold Charm and Aurora Papillon were next on the list.
Saturday 30th July 2022
2.10 Goodwood (Summer Handicap) – TRAWLERMAN
As you’d expect in this valuable 1¾-mile race there are some crack handicappers, not least Bague D’Or (Chris Wall), HMS President (Eve Johnson Houghton) and last year’s Melrose winner Valley Forge (Andrew Balding).
The won I expect to win a big pot at some pot, very possibly this weekend, is John & Thady Gosden’s Trawlerman.
He’s been impressive at times and had very viable excuses for his last two below-par runs. It’s about time he won one, he has the ideal conditions and remains very well handicapped.
2.45 Goodwood (Lillie Langtry Stakes – Group 2) – EMILY DICKINSON
Sea La Rosa is the big hitter in the market here and at a glance, it’s easy to see why.
William Haggas’ filly is still progressing, she’s also a Listed and Group 3 winner as well as a Group 2 runner-up.
Her level then is solid, but not unpassable. Fellow four-year-old Yesyes, who is lighter raced and also progressive, would be a big danger but the pair are vulnerable to three-year-old Emily Dickinson who is the value call.
Aidan O’Brien’s filly has reached the same sort of level as the other two and much quicker, suggesting there’s more to come from her than them.
She was fourth in a good Irish Oaks recently when unlucky in running and looks certain to reach the required level either this time on the track or next.
3.20 Goodwood (Stewards’ Cup Handicap) – REGIONAL
The Stewards’ Cup is of course frightfully competitive, but excellent up-and-coming trainer Ed Bethell has booked Ryan Moore for Regional which is a smart move and one that could be rewarded.
Regional is tough and competitive, is improving and is well drawn. He is worth a shout at double-figure odds ahead of Able Kane and Inver Park.