Saturday 27th October: Turgenev To Put Derby Credentials On The Line

We’re smack bang between Champions Day and the Breeders’ Cup and in the midst of the crossover between Flat and jumps racing, but that doesn’t mean we are running out of betting opportunities on the level quite yet.

Saturday brings worldwide action starting in Oz and ending with Derby contenders for 2019 running at Doncaster.  Here’s the best of the action:

7.00 Moonee Valley (Cox Plate – Group 1) – BENBATL

You’ll need to be up early to catch this one, the Cox Plate being one of Australia’s richest races and things have been stirred up somewhat down under on the lead-up to this race.

Wondermare Winx is going for her 29th consecutive win and a 22nd straight Group 1 success and is therefore rightfully a very short priced favourite indeed.  The feeling for some time though in the UK is that while Winx is undoubtedly a high class mare, what she has been beating in Australia leaves a lot to be desired.

Well known racing pundit Matt Chapman  has been in Australia and brought up this very subject and, while his comments and questions can be close to the bone at times, Winx’s trainer Chris Waller won nothing with his response on radio when he called Chapman a ****head for even suggesting that her opposition had been inferior.

In truth, Winx at her very best wins this but the evidence suggests that the level she is running at over the last year makes her vulnerable to a proper Group 1 horse and Benbatl is that, without being one of Europe’s very best of course.

His easy win in the Dubai Turf for almost £2.7 million was high class and he warmed up with a Group 1 win at Caulfield two weeks ago in the Ladbrokes Stakes, a run which will put him spot on for a tilt at this race.  At these prices we don’t need to bet big to take a chance on a famous win and that’s why with value in mind we take on the champ.

1.45 Doncaster (Doncaster Stakes – Listed Race) – GARRUS

Jeremy Noseda’s horse made a very good impression when stepping up on his debut effort to score at Newmarket in the summer and won very, very easily at Newcastle on his third start.

Things didn’t go to plan when he was stepped up to Group 2 company but he’s been allowed time to recover from that and comes here looking every bit a Group performer, though one that tackles just Listed company this time.

Garrus can prove too good here at a very fair price, with nice type San Donato next on the list ahead of Heartwarming and Canton Queen.

2.20 Newbury (Royal British Legion Stakes – Group 3) – YOUNG RASCAL

This fellow landed the odds for us on his reappearance from a break when getting up close home to win the Arc Trial last month and he can continue his improvement to take this race as well.

Having won the Chester Vase back in May he was rightfully thought of as a genuine Derby contender, though things didn’t go his way at Epsom and he was given some time off before his Newbury success for which he would have been a little undercooked.

The three-year-olds look the way to go in this race so with that in mind, Mark Johnston’s Communique who has done nothing but improve in recent weeks and will see out this trip nicely, is one to keep a close eye on.  Quite how much more he really has to offer is still open to question as his trainer tends to leave nothing out on the pitch, but he certainly rates a danger at these weights.

Of the older horses John Gosden’s Weekender looks just about best but in truth could fall some way short of what is required if Young Rascal is near the top of his game which is what I expect, while Morando too looks just a little way short of the jolly’s level.

3.55 Newbury (Radley Stakes – Listed Race) – CERATONIA

Although I was quite taken with the way Hugo Palmer’s Zofelle won on her debut back in July, it was no more impressive than Ceratonia’s first effort around the same time at Ascot and she has gone on to prove she is a filly worth of this and perhaps even a higher level.

Not suited by things in Group 1 company last time around in Paris, she still put up a good display and any forward momentum taken from that run would see her score comfortably in this ahead of the aforementioned Zofelle and Mick Channon’s Gospel.

4.05 Doncaster (Futurity Trophy Stakes – Group 1) – TURGENEV

I do like this horse a lot and have commented before that he’s been underestimated to this point, not just in terms of opinion but on the numbers as well.

He comes into this race rated 101 having won a couple of novice races, but the figures and times don’t tell you just how easily he won those races and how quickly he’s improving and there’s never been a doubt that he can mix it at this level.

To accentuate that point he was second to a race-fit Royal Marine on debut, the horse who went on to score at Group 1 level on Arc day in Paris and all he’s done since is get better.  Turgenev is not in the Derby at present but can be entered and looks just the type to head to Epsom next summer.

He can improve enough to get the measure of Aidan O’Brien’s Magna Grecia who looks a strong prospect.  Of the others, Phoenix Of Spain and John Gosden’s second string Kick On look like types who can run into the money.

Saturday 20th October (Champions Day): Stradivarius And Lah Ti Dar To Call The Tune

It’s Champions Day at Ascot this weekend and just like last year the rain has arrived, much to the delight of certain trainers as we will find out.

John Gosden rather fittingly has a very strong hand but there’s plenty of competition for him.  I’ve taken a view on all six of the races starting with one of this season’s hero’s Stradivarius in the Long Distance Cup.

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1.25 Ascot (British Champions Long Distance Cup – Group 2) – STRADIVARIUS

Unfortunately the staying star of the last two years is a short price for this one, as expected, however there has been too much talk of a long season which could prove to be nothing more than smoke and mirrors.

Stradivarius has run four times this term; easing to a classy-looking victory in the Yorkshire Cup at the start of the year before reaching new heights with his 2m4f battling win the Gold Cup at Ascot.

A repeat win in the Goodwood Cup when not receiving all the weight-for-age advantage he had last year was impressive and then he gave away weight again successfully in the Lonsdale Cup to take the £1 million bonus on offer for the first time in the stayers championship.

He comes here apparently fresh and full of himself and despite the softer ground should make his superiority count in this division, though Flag Of Honour, Thomas Hobson and Sir Eric can all hope for place money.

2.00 Ascot (British Champions Sprint Stakes – Group 1) – HARRY ANGEL

Easily the best sprinter in this line-up at his best, the risk involved is in deciding whether or not he’s the same horse since cutting himself at Royal Ascot this year.

The angle I’m taking here though is that challengers The Tin Man, Limato, Librisa Breeze, Brando, Tasleet and arguably even Bacchus are all of a very similar level whereas our boy is the one with real star quality.

If he’s back to his best on ground we know he likes as well then he should be capable of pulling clear of this field and adding a cool £358,000 to his already impressive career earnings.

2.40 Ascot (British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes – Group 1) – LAH TI DAR

The second of four John Gosden hotpots and the second I think will score too.  Lord Lloyd-Webber’s filly was favourite for the Oaks before injury but came back in the Galtres at York to devastating effect when slamming her opposition by 10 lengths.

She was a leading fancy for the St Leger but appeared not to stay and should be back to her best here over this mile-and-a-half trip.

Almost all of the best Dubawi progeny have produced their best runs on a variety of ground so underfoot conditions are not expected to be an issue and if she’s refreshed after her Doncaster exertions she rates as a very confident bet ahead of Kitesurf and Coronet.

3.15 Ascot (Queen Elizabeth II Stakes – Group 1) – ADDEYBB

William Haggas must have been licking his lips as the rain fell over Ascot this week and we may now eventually see Addeybb graduate to Group 1 success on the ground he loves.

Having progressed well from three to four, Addeybb was as easy a winner of the Lincoln Handicap as you’ll see back in the spring before claiming a most impressive Group 2 success.

He didn’t fire in the Lockinge with the fast ground definitely a factor but is expected to have improved again since his last win in April and that would make him very hard to beat.

Roaring Lion has been fantastic this season but mostly on the quicker ground and definitely for the step up to ten furlongs, though he’s be rerouted to this from the Champion Stakes apparently because of the going.

I think we all know the real reason is the presence of Gosden’s other star Cracksman in that race and I can’t help thinking this race won’t suit him.  French star Recoletos is a genuine Group 1 type for my money and may be the other to perhaps fill a place.

3.50 Ascot (Champion Stakes – Group 1) – CRACKSMAN

I really don’t want this to read like a rant, but this chap always has doubters and I simply don’t know why.  This week I’ve heard professionals talking about the level he has run to this season in terms of ratings, then tip Capri to win this who on ratings is way, way behind.

This horse, not that he should have to, will prove his value to the sport in a few years’ time when his progeny are racing but he has one last shot to show how good he is on the track, especially in these conditions.

The level of his form when bumping his head at Epsom and when tackling ground he didn’t like and pulling away from a top quality field with Poet’s Word at Ascot was higher than anything else in this field and with the ground now to his liking we may see another 130+ run here, truly outstanding stuff.

Crystal Ocean is in the next bracket and should give him most to do while the aforementioned Capri can run on for a place.

4.30 Ascot (Balmoral Handicap) – ARGENTELLO

It really could be a memorable day for John Gosden who saddles this Argentello, a recent winner at Kempton where he completed his fourth victory in 5 runs.

The 6lb penalty he received for that win essentially got him a run in this race, but his usually careful trainer suggested he may not run again so quickly unless he was absolutely right within himself – something the horse must be telling the trainer now having been declared.

This son of Intello is a rapid improver and will love underfoot conditions on the straight mile here and so can score at reasonable odds ahead of the likes of Kynren - for which William Buick has been booked - Sharja Bridge and Mitchum Swagger.

Friday 12th & Saturday 13th October: Sangarius To Prove Too Hot In The Dewhurst

We’ve got another great weekend of Group action at Newmarket and in France starting on Friday but with the action reaching fever pitch at 3PM on Saturday when this year’s champion two-year-old is crowned.

Our six selections are all well known to us and all look to have been trained to their peak for this weekend so confidence is high with some going off at very juicy odds.

We start at HQ on Friday with a couple of excellent fillies taking their chance in Group races with a view to the Guineas and the Oaks next season:

Friday 12th October 2018

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2.25 Newmarket (Oh So Sharp Stakes – Group 3) – HIDDEN MESSAGE

This Hidden Message of William Haggas’ yard looks a proper filly and she can take both the step up in trip and the climb in grade well in her stride.

Aidan O’Brien’s Frosty won well on debut at Dundalk and will undoubtedly improve, however strictly speaking her early form doesn’t match up to our girl or John Gosden’s penalised Angel’s Hideaway who remains capable of more despite a busy season.

2.40 Chantilly (Prix le Fabuleux – Listed Race) – RED MIST

As always with these French races we have no idea of what price to expect until much nearer race time, however it’s hoped that given Charlie Appleby’s well deserved reputation over there that Symbolization will go off favourite leaving our horse at much more appealing odds in this one.

Simon Crisford’s runner has had a couple of Gallic near-misses this season already and didn’t quite run to his best on home soil last time out, though he remains probably the best of these on a look at his profile overall and he is taken to score under Pierre-Charles Boudot.

3.35 Newmarket (Fillies’ Mile – Group 1) – BEYOND REASON (each-way)

We put up this filly for Arc weekend last time and she ended up not running however she has seemingly been underestimated all over again in the Fillies’ Mile and could go off at a very attractive price in what is a very early Oaks trial.

I get her top of my ratings but that is with the expectation over further improvement, something that isn’t 100% guaranteed, so given that we can expect 10/1+ she is backable each-way ahead of Hermosa and Pretty Pollyanna who is going up markedly in trip.

Saturday 13th October 2018

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2.50 Maisons-Laffitte (Criterium de Maisons-Laffitte – Group 2) – QUEEN OF BERMUDA

She’s been highly tried this season and had a longish campaign, but William Haggas’ filly who scored for us at Ayr now has softer ground once again and at the weights looks to have a few pounds in hand on the likes of Legends Of War and Sporting Chance.

Stephane Pasquier is just the right man to have on board the daughter of Exceed And Excel who won at Deauville in similar conditions earlier in the year and who can add one more Group win to her CV before perhaps being put away for the season.

3.00 Newmarket (Dewhurst Stakes – Group 1) – SANGARIUS

The idea each year is that the Dewhurst should be seen as the ultimate Group 1 race for juveniles, ideally crowning this season’s champion two-year-old.  Despite the injury to Calyx and Quorto having been put away for the season, this year’s renewal is red hot and may indeed show us where these colts rank going into the winter.

As for the four main contenders left in this rank, Advertise is stepping up in trip from his impressive Phoenix Stakes win in Ireland but it’s not certain to suit him, while Aidan O’Brien’s Anthony Van Dyck has already tackled this distance but was put in his place by Charlie Appleby’s Quorto.

Too Darn Hot is the one for money and has been carefully handled by John Gosden, winning nicely at Group 3 and Group 2 level already, remaining unbeaten and at the head of the market for next year’s 2000 Guineas back over this course in May.

The one who could improve most however is Sir Michael Stoute’s impressive Doncaster winner Sangarius who is likely to appreciate the fact that he is getting to race on quicker ground.  Kingman is already making a name for himself as a sire and it’s easy to see why, this horse and Calyx looking mightily impressive this term.

He was a couple of seconds slower at Doncaster than Too Darn Hot, but that was his second ever start, on slightly slower ground, in an easier grade and in an easier fashion and he is value to beat the favourite when it truly counts.

5.25 Newmarket (Darley Stakes – Group 3) – GABR

Although one of our old favourite’s Beshaayir runs here and definitely has a chance stepping up in trip to 1m1f at a course we know she likes, I can’t get away from the improving Sir Michael Stoute three-year-old at these weights.

The son of Intello went up against Without Parole at the start of the season and was still entrusted by his top yard to represent them at Group 1 level at Royal Ascot where he ran admirably in sixth behind the same horse.  He’s been dropped to Listed level since then and got back to winning ways last time out at Goodwood and could take another step forward here.

I’d say he’s just about the best horse in this race and may go off at a reasonable price, Hathal perhaps being a danger for the places.

Saturday 6th & Sunday 7th October: Ready, Willing And Enable For Arc Glory

Other than at Royal Ascot in June, it’s rare we have a couple of days of racing quite this high in quality with Group 1 races all over the show.

Ascot, Redcar and Newmarket all have great pattern action over Friday and Saturday but the main focus this weekend is on ParisLongchamp where the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe is the highlight of a brilliant championship meeting.

Top filly Enable will look to perform the rare feat of winning the race twice and will go off favourite, however we start with domestic action and a young colt definitely going places.

Saturday 6th October 2018

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2.40 Newmarket (Class 4 Novice Stakes) – TURGENEV

What sort of price we can expect for John Gosden’s horse is in the lap of the gods until Saturday rolls around, but in giving 6lbs away to a very well bred and exciting field means perhaps the layers will look to take our horse on.

This race is chock full of sons of Dubawi, some with Derby entries, and whatever happens this will be a race to watch for the future.  There will be money on Saturday morning for several of them but they will need to run to Listed or Group 3 level on debut which hardly ever happens and it should pave the way clear for our boy to follow up his Newcastle win and set up a Group 1 date at Doncaster in the Futurity at the end of the month.

3.15 Newmarket (Sun Chariot Stakes – Group 1) – VERACIOUS

This is a good fillies’ Group 1 and we can’t really argue with the form in the book posted by French raider Wind Chimes, Irish trained I Can Fly and Clemmie as well as the more than admirable Laurens of Karl Burke’s yard, however none of them have a whole lot of improvement left to come unlike Sir Michael Stoute’s Veracious.

The Frankel filly has been brought along slowly in typical Stoute fashion and, having already run third to bona fide top level stars Alpha Centauri and Wild Illusion as an inexperienced horse, she was given a lovely prep when taking a one mile Group 3 contest last time and will come on a ton for all that.

Frankie Dettori’s mount has plenty in her favour and can topple the big guns in the market to land a first Group 1 victory and a very valuable one for Cheveley Park Stud in terms of her broodmare value later down the line.

Sunday 7th October 2018

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1.10 Longchamp (Prix Marcel Boussac – Group 1) – BEYOND REASON (each-way)

A top quality juvenile fillies’ event and one in which we may see a true improver stay on for a huge victory.  Charlie Appleby is a tip-top trainer, albeit with some of the best bred horses in the world at his disposal, and his Beyond Reason has got better with each run this season reaching a peak with a fine Group 2 win at Deauville in August.

Being by Australia out of an Azamour mare she surely wants this step up in trip now from 7f to a mile and at the projected odds at the time of writing (8/1+) she is worth an each-way bet.  Aiden O’Brien may field Zagitova but it’s another one of his who rates the bigger danger in the shape of Hermosa.

3.05 Longchamp (Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe – Group 1) – ENABLE

Europe’s premier race bar none and with £2.5 million to the winner you’d expect all the main challengers to be prepared superbly.  That being said we have no English or Irish Derby winner in the line-up, no King George winner and no Eclipse winner so it has to be said that it has opened up somewhat.

With that in mind, last year’s heroine Enable could probably just run to what for her is an ordinary level and still win this.  Some are concerned about the injury that forced her off the track this year until last month, however regardless of the grade and the opposition her own performance was as good as ever at Kempton and she should have too much once more.

St Leger winner Kew Gardens may well be best of the opposition if as effective over this shorter trip while the well-touted Sea Of Class is a terrific three-year-old filly but not one as good as Enable was last year and who may just come up short.  Watch out for Defoe putting in a big performance at a massive price for each-way backers.

3.50 Longchamp (Prix de l’Opera – Group 1) – WILD ILLUSION

Having won on this card last year as a juvenile in the Prix Marcel Boussac Charlie Appleby’s lovely filly could repeat the trick in taking this prestigious race.

Having been outstayed in both the Oaks and the Ribblesdale Stakes in the summer, the latter time by Wagic Wand who rates the biggest danger here, she was dropped to this 1m2f trip for the Nassau Stakes at Goodwood where she put in a top class performance to beat a quality field in great style.

There is more to come from the daughter of Dubawi and so she can take this ahead of the O’Brien horse and local challenger With You.

4.35 Longchamp (Prix de l’Abbaye – Group 1) – BATTAASH

Much like with Enable we have to play at shorter odds here, but also like her if Battaash shows up in the same form as when winning either the King George Stakes this year or even this very race twelve months ago then this lot cannot hold a candle to him.

He is the speediest horse on the planet and can do it on any surface, something which from a risk point of view negates the fact that he can be a monkey sometimes.  As he gets older, he’ll get more consistent and can take care of City Of Light who has progressed into a fine sprinter along with Mab’s Cross who did so well at York.

Friday 28th & Saturday 29th: Cape Of Good Hope For HQ Punters

It’s all about Newmarket this week with a fantastic few days of racing coming to an end with not only the Cambridgeshire being run, but also some major clues handed out as to who next year’s top three-year-olds may be.

Friday can give us 1000 Guineas pointers when the Rockfel Stakes is run while Saturday can provide both 2000 Guineas and Derby hints as the Middle Park and Royal Lodge Stakes are contested.

We start here with the Nayef Stakes on Friday, a race in which a couple of highly thought of three-year-old fillies can bounce right back to form for the home team.

Friday 28th September

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2.25 Newmarket (Nayef Stakes – Group 3) – SUN MAIDEN

We should have good, almost summer ground for this mile-and-a-half contest which should in turn help us in terms of not getting shock results with the better fillies perhaps coming to the fore.  With all of that in mind, Sir Michael Stoute’s Sun Maiden looks overpriced in this Group 3 contest and should have too much for this field if at her best.

Visually she was mightily impressive when breaking her duck at Salisbury back in May and then ran a very solid race when third in the Group 2 Ribblesdale Stakes at Royal Ascot, though she hasn’t hit those heights again since.  Things should be back in her favour now though and she can grab a first win at pattern level.

Watch out for further improvement from John Gosden’s 3yo filly Highgarden while Mrs Sippy may complete a place whitewash for the classic generation.

3.35 Newmarket (Joel Stakes – Group 2) – REGAL REALITY

Mustashry is a horse we like and it was nice to see him get his head in front again at Doncaster last time out, Sir Michael so often able to coax out improvement from these older horses.  I do think the master trainer will win this contest, however he may be doing it with young Intello colt Regal Reality instead.

Having scored very nicely at Glorious Goodwood at Group 3 level on only his third racecourse start and without the best luck in running, he appeared perhaps to be heading for the top but he didn’t really progress when settling for third place in the Superior Mile (Group 3) at Haydock next time.

He has some natural speed and hated the heavy ground on his last run, so this surface and a return to seven furlongs should see the best from him and there’s little doubt powerhouse Ryan Moore can get the best out of him if he needs to.  Zonderland may be best of the rest.

4.45 Newmarket (Godolphin Stakes – Listed Race) – COMMUNIQUE

Willam Haggas’ filly Maid To Remember may be a tad overpriced in this race and is certainly better value at the predicted odds than either Raheen House or  Barsanti, however they may all be vulnerable to the only three-year-old in the race at the bottom of the weights.

Mark Johnston’s Communique has had a busy season, typical for a Johnston inmate you may say, but has steadily progressed through a few peaks and a couple of minor troughs to reach a level befitting this Listed entry.

He won nicely in a handicap at Newbury last time out off a mark of 103 under Silvestre de Sousa and has the on board help of another strong jockey, Moore once again, to help him maintain his progress.  He doesn’t throw in too many bad runs so despite just a week off the track he can reach a level that off these weights could see him dominate.

Saturday 29th September

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1.50 Newmarket (Royal Lodge Stakes – Group 2) – CAPE OF GOOD HOPE

Often horses of potential are seriously underpriced based on their trainer’s reputation and, almost unbelievably, it could be Aidan O’Brien, himself usually the one with the massive standing, who could benefit this time at a tasty price.

His Cape Of Good Hope ran a blinder back in July to be second to subsequent Group 1 winner Quorto at Newmarket and all of this when his stable were known to be suffering from an ailment.  The son of Galileo has not raced since and, as an offspring of the champion sire, will appreciate this step up in trip as well as a return to full health.

He’s a chunky price because of the presence of John Gosden’s unbeaten colt Beatboxer who won oh so easily last time out at Haydock, though in truth it’s hard to know what to make of that form in the context of this very strong race and so the 2/1 at the time of writing looks way too short.

3.00 Newmarket (Middle Park Stakes – Group 1) – JASH

Now, in stark contrast to the Royal Lodge, we are hoping to get an Aidan O’Brien hotpot beaten in the shape of odds-on favourite Ten Sovereigns.  The No Nay Never colt was superb on his second start at the Curragh when registering a very impressive performance to win a Group 3 however he didn’t beat a hell of a lot and may not improve from race two to race three with the same giant stride as plenty of others in the yard.

With that in mind we take a punt on the potential of Simon Crisford’s son of Kodicac, Jash, who simply took his field apart in a novice race at Salisbury and who is very highly thought of indeed.

Crisford knows a top class horse when he sees one from his time at Godolphin in the hay day of Saeed bin Suroor and the Newmarket handler reckons this one is going right to the top.  I agree.

Saturday 22nd September: Rascal To Scamper Home At Newbury

It’s all about the younger horses for us this week as two impressive juveniles look to strut their stuff in the Mill Reef at Newbury and the Firth of Clyde Stakes at Ayr, while two one-time Derby contenders can also get their careers back on track with Group Three wins either side of the Channel in the 3yo division

We start at Newbury where two good value early bets could get us off to a terrific start on what is a very busy afternoon of racing.

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2.20 Newbury (Legacy Cup Stakes – Group 3) – YOUNG RASCAL

Desert Encounter won this last year and was successful last time out at Windsor too, however this is a significantly stronger renewal than 2017 and it’s possible he will find likely favourite Mirage Dancer too strong, though that may not be the end of the matter.

Three-year-old Young Rascal won so well at Chester’s May meeting in the Chester Vase that many had him down as a potential Derby winner for the big race sponsor Bernard Kantor of Investec and while things didn’t work out for him at Epsom in the end, he remains a young colt of terrific potential.

At these weights he has an outstanding chance of scoring another Group 3 win though whether he’s good enough for the Arc, for which this was formerly a recognised trial, remains to be seen.  He’s a nice type though and deserves this.

2.55 Newbury (Mill Reef Stakes – Group 2) – KESSAAR

This is a tight Mill Reef on the book and probably not the best renewal ever, though whatever wins it will still have to be decent and the improvement seen lately in Kessaar makes him stand out to me in this field.

After a rather inauspicious start for a horse now running at this level and for a top trainer such as John Gosden, the son of Kodiac has done nothing but get better since his debut and his taking success in Group 3 company on Kempton’s all-weather track last time when slamming Junius Brutus in the Sirenia Stakes is probably the best bit of form on offer here, despite some having run at Group 1 level.

Kessaar still holds an entry in the Group 1 Middle Park Stakes at Newmarket next month and while he is not certain to prove up to that, it’s clear his top connections hold him in high regard.

Shine So Bright and Marie’s Diamond are obvious contenders for places but at a bigger price watch out for easy Newcastle scorer Garrus taking a big step forward under Jim Crowley for beleaguered trainer Jeremy Noseda.

3.15 Ayr (Firth of Clyde Stakes – Group 3) – QUEEN OF BERMUDA

A decent race and one in which William Haggas’ admirable filly Queen Of Bermuda may finally grab a Group race success following some fine efforts both at home and abroad over the course of the season.

This juvenile daughter of Exceed And Excel was narrowly beaten in a French Group 3 last time over five furlongs when staying on nicely and may improve again for this step up in trip, something that looks almost certain based on a broad view of her breeding.

She can take care of the likes of Shumookhi whose rating looks a little false, and Glass Slippers who rate as the chief dangers in what is a tight enough race on paper.

3.30 Newbury (World Trophy Stakes – Group 3) – EQUILATERAL

This very promising three-year-old made a stunning debut last season and confirmed that perceived ability when slamming subsequent triple winner and Steward’s Cup sixth Foxtrot Lady by 8 lengths first time out this season at Doncaster.

He has disappointed somewhat in Group outings this year, including at the very top level, but came right back to form over this five furlong trip when dominating a small race at Leicester last time out and it’s pleasing that Charlie Hills brings him out just 11 days later while he is in rare form.

He has such huge natural speed that despite his opening win of the season at Donny and with the benefit of hindsight, he should have always been going over the minimum trip and so it’s exciting to see what he can achieve here.

Aidan O’Brien’s Sioux Nation and the winner of last year’s renewal Take Cover look best of the rest at these weights, though in truth they’ll need our boy to run below form in order to score as they have a few pounds to find if he gets close to his true ability.

3.45 Longchamp (Prix du Prince d’Orange – Group 3) – GHAIYYATH

At the time of writing I have absolutely no idea what sort of price to expect about this one time Derby hope as nothing has filtered through from France, but so long as we aren’t talking long odds-on then the son of Dubawi simply must be backed.

All Dubawi’s improve with age so the speed with which this colt when through the levels as a juvenile last season, culminating in a very fine Group 3 win at Newmarket, is very impressive stuff indeed.  He was always thought of as a top class middle-distance three-year-old and one who could have landed the big one at Epsom, though injury curtailed his season until now.

Charlie Appleby won’t care too much about all that now given that he won the Derby with Masar and this race may yet prove to be a 1-2 for the trainer with Stage Magic very capable of chasing his stable mate home, while local challenger Scared Life could prove to be best of the rest.

Friday 14th & Saturday 15th September: Lah Ti Dar To Sing All The Way To Leger Glory

With such high class racing taking place at Doncaster it would be churlish of us to ignore Friday in favour of Saturday and so we have four value bets which can hopefully boost our betting bank ahead of the St Leger and the Irish Champion Stakes the following day.

Lord Lloyd-Webber will be hoping to get a good tune out of his very well bred filly in the big race itself while another speedy Kingman colt could be about to show us what he can do during what should be an exhilarating weekend of racing.

Usual suspects John Gosden and Sir Michael Stoute feature in our selections as the powerful Newmarket stables send their big guns to Donny and Leopardstown to fight for massive money and it’s in Yorkshire we start with a good looking Group Three for the fillies on Friday afternoon.

Friday 14th September 2018

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1.50 Doncaster (Sceptre Stakes – Group 3) – LAUGH ALOUD

We thought she just might win on her belated return for John Gosden but alas she had to settle for third place behind the well fancied Veracious, albeit not beaten very far.

This lightly raced 4yo should be able to take a big step up in performance level now which would be enough to see her triumph over the likes of Anna Nerium and Dancing Star.

2.25 Doncaster (Flying Childers Stakes – Group 2) – LEGENDS OF WAR

Mr Gosden could indeed be off to a flying start on Friday with his Legends Of War fancied to go one better than when running a blinder at big odds in the Gimcrack Stakes at York last month.

The son of Scat Daddy has arguably taken longer to come to himself that we all thought, but boy is he doing that now and he can defy once again his odds to beat hot favourite Rumble Inthejungle who has been sold off to Cheveley Park Stud this week for a pretty penny.

3.35 Doncaster (Doncaster Cup – Group 2) – SHEIKHZAYEDROAD

There’s a potential hotpot here in the shape of Willie Mullins’ Thomas Hobson who may yet prove hard to beat following his easy preparation and his fine second in this race last year, though I can’t quite shake off David Simcock’s veteran Sheikhzayedroad.

He hasn’t won a race since October 2016 on Champion’s Day but he’s remained in good form the whole time, running into the likes of Vazirabad and Stradivarius along the way.  Having been out of action since Royal Ascot he comes here nice and fresh and ready to run a big race with his best form for me good enough to see this lot off.

Don’t rule out Willie Mullins’ other runner Max Dynamite at a nice price but this could be a much deserved big race win for jockey Martin Harley.

4.05 Doncaster (Flying Scotsman Stakes – Listed Race) – SANGARIUS

Sir Michael Stoute doesn’t usually rush them along but when a precocious type comes his way he’s not afraid to set them loose, just like Expert Eye last season and in the same colours we could see another big performance from this Kingman colt Sangarius.

The sire has started well with the likes of Calyx and is already making a name for himself, this one being bound to add to the list.  True, this is only a Listed race but make no mistake the Newmarket stable have designs on winning either the Dewhurst or the Racing Post Trophy with him depending on what trip he prefers so this should be taken en route.

Athmad is another to have made a nice debut and can give the favourite most to do, though I’d be surprised if Ryan Moore’s mount did not get home in front with a little authority.

Saturday 15th September 2018

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2.25 Doncaster (Park Stakes – Group 2) – D’BAI

We’ve spoken in glowing terms on these pages before about Sir Michael Stoute’s 5yo Mustashry and as such it’s hard to go against him when he is now seemingly expected to win, however Godolphin’s first choice D’bai is hard to get away from on all known evidence.

Tried on various surfaces over various trips against some exalted company, the 4yo could do with going up against this sort of (admittedly high quality) field and may find things to his liking this time.

He’s had plenty of goes but as a 4yo by Dubawi we cannot believe we have yet seen the very best of him so a career best is still a possibility in this race.

3.35 Doncaster (St Leger Stakes – Group 1) – LAH TI DAR

John Gosden’s super filly created a massive impression when coming back from injury to win at York by 10 lengths on only her third career start and is now a shortish price for the Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe itself, meaning the world’s oldest classic won’t even be her hardest assignment before the year is out.

Instead of running her in a trial over in France, she has been rerouted here and it’s easy to see why for as long as she stays the mile-and-three-quarter trip OK she really should have too much for this field and rates a fairly confident bet under Frankie Dettori.

Kew Gardens has held favouritism for this race for some time but has looked a little too short in the betting for my money with Derby second Dee Ex Bee at least as good as him at many times the price, though they are both usurped as second choice in this race by Charlie Appleby’s Old Persian who may yet land his Group 1 if things fall his way and he gets the trip.