Wednesday 23 August 2017

Ebor Festival Day One Tips: Crack on betting at York

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York is the place to be this afternoon, and Tippin' Jimmy will be tipping on every race this week. 


York

1:55 - Orion's Bow (9/1)
I am a big fan of Tim Easterby's handicapper, and now on a falling mark I expect him to return to his best. He was second in the Steward's Cup last year off this mark, and has been unlucky in some runs since. His trainer said he came back coughing after Ascot, which may explain the reason why he only finished fifth. He's been dropped a 1lb and can go well today.

2:25 - Lanksy (8/1) ew
I think Jeremy Noseda has some cracking young horses this year, including this one. He made a very encouraging winning debut at Windsor and despite only winning by much he looks a star in the making. There is some tough opposition, and it is only his second start but he deserves an each-way bet.

3:00 - Cracksman (Evs)
Cracksman is a very short price, but is a Group One horse and should take all the beating here. He ran solid races in the English and Irish Derby and that form works out very strong here. He is still improving and deserves his place here, although there are some improvers if he runs his true race he may prove very difficult to beat.

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Barney Roy will bid for a second Group One victory in the Juddmonte International

3:35 - Barney Roy (3/1), Churchill (10/3)
I am very stuck on this race, just like a lot of punters but I just feel Churchill may return to his best here. He was brilliant in his two Guineas win, but struggled in the hot temperatures at Royal Ascot last time out. He hasn't been seen since, but if he can bring his best here then he will be hard to stop. Stepping up from a mile should be fine for him too.

I've backed Barney Roy all year, and I will continue too. He was sensational at Royal Ascot, and was rather unlucky when beaten in the Eclipse. I've heard he's been doing very well at home, and I fully expect him to love the conditions at York. This race will be a thriller.

4:15 - Penglai Pavillion (12/1) , Platitude (8/1) ew
If the best Penglai Pavillion turns up at York, he should win this. However he hasn't raced since April, and may just need the run. His form works out strongly in this handicap, having run well in various Group Ones in Australia last year, and he even finished fifth in the Arc a few years back. He won the Cesarewitch trial last September and faces a 7lb raise. That's fair and he may well have another big handicap win in him,

Platitude could bring back some each-way money for Ryan Moore and Sir Michael Stoute. He attempts this two mile trip for the first time, but has boasted some strong listed form and is dropping down the weights.

4:50 - Tathmeen (15/2) , Etefaaq (18/1)
I was very taken by Tathmeen's performance in a maiden at Newbury, when he won very well by six lengths. That maiden wasn't the strongest but he did it in very good style, and can improve in his first start in handicap company.

Richard Hannon's other runner Etefaaq should go well under Frankie Dettori. He ran a strong race in a Group Two, and despite carrying top weight he may be a bit better than some of these this afternoon.


Best of the rest

Embed from Getty Images Dermot Weld and Pat Smullen team up with Sorelle Delle Rose at Killarney this evening

2:15 Bath - Yafta (5/4)
I really have a lot of time for Yafta, and he should break his maiden in very good style at Bath today. He has been second on his previous two starts. The form of the Newmarket runner-up has worked out very well, and he should be too good here.

3:10 Killarney - Kew Gardens (4/5)
As with a lot of Irish maidens, will the well-bred Ballydoyle colt win second time out. Kew Gardens was seventh on debut but not beaten that far. That effort was promising and if he improves he should live up to high expectations.

4:10 Killarney - Sorelle Delle Rose (3/1)
I backed and tipped this horse a fortnight ago, and I was worried she may have needed the run and I was right. She finished sixth in a more competitive handicap, and should be in better shape for the run. A 1lb drop is a bonus, and she is much better than her handicap mark says.

£5 Best of the rest trixie (£20 total) returns £162.

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