Thursday 17 August 2017

Thursday's Best Bets: Nelson to conquer at Leopardstown

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After our trixie landed yesterday for a bumper £355, Tippin' Jimmy is hoping for more profit from Thursday's racing.

2:40 Beverley - Gold Stone (11/8)
After a very promising debut I am expecting Gold Stone to go one better for Kevin Ryan. She finished off well after a poor start to finish second behind a very useful horse. If she improves, and starts better, she should have a really strong chance.

3:40 Beverley - Sevilla (9/4)
Olly Murphy has made a fine introduction to training, and Sevilla deserves to give him a flat winner this afternoon. The four-year-old finished second in a similar event three weeks ago and has been dropped a 1lb for that effort. She can go very close.

4:55 Yarmouth - Whitehall (6/1)
One beautifully bred horse for Sir Michael Stoute is Whitehall. He's up against some top newcomers, but is out of a Group One winner himself and this big imposing colt could be up to winning on debut. You don't know what to get from horses making their first start, but he should go well.

5:45 Chepstow - Native Prospect (7/4)
Andrew Balding's three-year-old ran a strong race at Epsom last time out, and hasn't been moved by the handicapper since that performance. He was beaten by a good horse in Pealer, who has strengthened the form with a second place finish in a good handicap at Ascot. He was well clear of the field that day, and can strike on this mark.

6:35 Leopardstown - Nelson (Evs)
One of Ballydoyle's Frankel colts who will win at maiden level within time, and today should be the day. He is out of Irish Oaks winning Moonstone, so is bred to be very good just as his Group Two declarations indicate. He ran nicely on debut to finish sixth, before improving to finish second last time out at the Curragh. That run was a tad disappointing, and he needs to improve.

8:20 Tramore - Airlie Beach (8/15)
A horse who should have far too much quality in this maiden affair is Airlie Beach for Willie Mullins. A former Grade One winning hurdler, she made a very strong introduction on the flat when third at the Curragh. That race was a lot stronger than this, and it should be very straightforward.

Win double - Native Prospect/Airlie Beach
L15 - Native Prospect/Airlie Beach/Gold Stone/ Sevilla

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