Friday 16 March 2018

Saturday 17th March: A Sting In The Tail For Bookies In The Silver Plate

The Cheltenham hangover starts here and for the fearless among us we go right back in against the bookmakers on Saturday with five good value bets.

Kempton and Uttoxeter host the highlights (though the Midlands track are inspecting) while there may be a couple of opportunities for us in the evening flat meeting at Wolverhampton.  Here are my best Saturday picks:

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2.05 Kempton – COPAIN DE CLASSE

Paul Nicholls’ six-year-old chaser is inexperienced but has plenty in the locker and could well just outclass them here.  His chase debut made him look better than the mark of 132 he has been given and there will have been plenty of improvement since then.

The two-mile trip and the soft ground are fine so I wouldn’t mind taking a reasonably short price about Sam Twiston-Davies’ mount in ready preference to Kayf Blanco and Vocaliser.

2.40 Kempton – JUST A STING

Harry Fry and Noel Fehily are a quality combo and they team up here with handicap debutant Just A Sting looking to take advantage of what looks a pretty lenient opening mark.  True, he’s been a beaten favourite on all three hurdle races so far, but he has never really put it all in I don’t think and he can improve now encouraged by better company and looks good enough to take this Silver Plate.

Graasten has been kept off the track over a month since scoring easily at Plumpton and could be primed for a big run, though I’m not certain his form will hold up really that well while Kildisart needs to bounce back from a slightly disappointing run at Ascot last time out.

3.15 Kempton – BUN DORAN

With the market leaders looking relatively weak in these conditions there may be an opening for the one solid in these conditions when allowed to run in them, Tom George’s Bun Doran.  He’s been running well enough over shorter of late but a look at his wider profile seems to suggest this 2m4f trip on soft ground is ideal for him and he’s great value.

Irish recruit Bentelimar and Nicky Henderson’s Kilcrea Vale are two who can run into a place and hold fair chances but its Paddy Brennan’s mount who holds sway in the Silver Bowl.

6.15 Wolverhampton – THEGLASGOWWARRIOR

Jim Goldie’s improving four-year-old went for the hat-trick on a similar surface at Newcastle last time and did well enough in defeat when edged out of it going up the hill.  Importantly he has been well handled, kept off the track for 37 days and will no doubt have improved again at home since then.

The handicapper hasn’t really got to him yet I feel and he looks good value to scoot away from this field and score well ahead of Tidal Watch and Cape Banjo who can fill the places in behind him.

7.45 Wolverhampton – ROSE BERRY

Chris Dwyer’s four-year-old filly was just caught here over six furlongs last time but I think she’ll improve a little for the step up to seven in this fillies’ handicap and may in the end have just too much for the likes of Bint Arcano and Ifubelieveindreams.

Rose Berry’s overall profile is one of an improving horse on the all-weather and she could be heading for a rating somewhere in the 90’s in good time, this therefore may be simply another stepping stone for her.

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