Friday 25 August 2017

Ebor Festival Day Three: Have a 'Dab' on Dettori

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Tippin' Jimmy goes through the card on day three of the Ebor Festival, and his selections from elsewhere.


York

1:55 - Appeared (17/2) , Londonium (15/2)
One horse who deserves to win a big handicap is Appeared for Roger Varian. He won really well at the start of the season at Ascot, before finishing second at the Royal meeting to Rare Rhythm. That form has been boosted with the Godolphin horse landing listed honours since. Last time out Appeared was badly handled, and wasn't at best with the ground. He can make amends today, even with a bad draw.

Londinium is a big each-way chance for Mark Johnston. He won impressively at Glorious Goodwood, before returning to finish second only two days later. He's had a break, has a low riding weight and can go very well again.

2:25 - Dal Harralid (7/2)
In an open race, I think Dal Harralid may be the best bet for the Lonsdale. He won very well in listed company over 1m6f, and he looked like a horse capable in this level. Last time out he stepped back to a mile and a half, and in a competitive Royal Ascot Group Two it was a bit of an impossible mission. He finished a creditable sixth. Today's assignment is more suitable and he can go well.

3:00 - Daban (6/1) , Talaayeb ew(10/1) 
Daban brings the very best form on the table in this Group Three event, her 1000 Guineas third puts her in with a big shout here. She hasn't been seen since running in what was a very good Jersey Stakes, finishing sixth. That form is still strong, but the worry is she hasn't raced since June. Hopefully John Gosden will have her spot on to return to winning ways.

Talaayeb is another boasting strong form for Owen Burrows. She won a maiden, before finishing fourth in the 1000 Guineas in only her second start. Last time out she was disappointing in listed company, but she is still progressing and deserves her place here.


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Lady Aurelia makes her first start since winning well at Royal Ascot

3:35 - Lady Aurelia (7/4)
I love Lady Aurelia and think she is an absolutely sensational filly. She won at Royal Ascot in tremendous style, and it was one of the best King's Stand winner I can remember. Battash is the danger, but I am more concerned about the ground. She will want it going quick, but she may struggle to get optimum conditions. This looks a great race in the making, hopefully she comes out on top.

4:15 - Gabr (4/1)
This is a very competitve maiden contest, and it will be interesting to see how the form works out in the future. I'm siding with Gabr for Sir Michael Stoute and Jim Crowley. He ran an exceptional race on debut, finishing second by a small margins. He lost a lot of lengths at the start of the race and ran on well, he's a maiden winner in waiting.

4:50 - Syphax (9/1)
Kevin Ryan has got a lot of time for this horse, and he just hasn't quite shown his best this season. He was a Group Three winner at this meeting last year, and has run okay so far this season. He drops down into handicap company and if he can find his very best, then he should be able to run well at a big price.

Best of the rest

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The Irish town of Killarney holds it's annual racing festival this week.

5:40 Killarney - Bella Estrella (6/4)
I am in Killarney this afternoon, and have a few fancies across the time. This is a nicely bred horse for Dermot Weld, who won on his only visit to the racecourse. That victory was very encouraging, and he picked up really quickly. His opening mark is on the high side, but he should still be too good in this handicap.

6:10 Killarney - Alaykha (7/2)
Another for top Irish trainer Dermot Weld is Alaykha, who ran okay in a hot maiden last time out. He finished fourth, behind She's So Flawless, Abyssinian and Airlie Beach. That form is very strong, and today's Killarney test looks a lot less competitve for Weld's three-year-old. There are some good rivals, but I expect him to go very well.

7:10 Killarney - Brutal (11/10)
I know Gordon Elliott has a lot of time for this horse, who turned his very good flat form into winning hurdling form. He won his hurdles debut quite well, and although this is much more competitive he should have a strong chance again. His trainer likes him a lot and believes he is only going to improve.

7:40 Killarney - Timiyan (13/2)
I know this another Gordon Elliott horse, that he likes an awful lot. He was progressing really well, and was quite well-fancied in the Galway Hurdle but struggled when only beating six rivals. He won his two starts before that very well, he's only getting better at the moment and can bounce back in this competitive event today.

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